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Opinion

The Editor's Back Fence

New: There's Still Time to Vote for Your Latest Choice

Becky O'Malley
Monday March 02, 2020 - 04:40:00 PM

Have you been supporting Steyer, Buttigieg or Klobuchar? Did you get an absentee ballot? Are you afraid that now your vote won’t count on Super Tuesday? Fear not, or at least take hope.

I ran into my longtime neighbor Doris, who was a poll worker for many years, on College Avenue today.

She quickly sketched out a menu of options, depending on your circumstances, which she had researched since the three departed the race. It was too late for me to check with the County Clerk, but I trust Doris.

  1. You haven’t filled out your absentee (“vote by mail”) ballot yet. Just throw it away and vote in person, or fill it out at home for your new choice and deliver it yourself, or mail it as usual.
  2. You have already filled out your ballot, but you haven’t turned it in yet, either by mail or in person. No problem, just throw it away and go in to vote in your local polling place. The in-person vote is the one which will be counted.
  3. You have already mailed or delivered your ballot. You can still go to your polling place and vote in person for your new choice. This will give you a fighting chance, because whichever vote is counted first by the officials will be the one that is recorded—but there’s no way to know.


Me? I always vote in person and I’m still voting for Elizabeth Warren. I talked to my friend Carol in North Carolina about this today. She’d been out canvassing for Warren with her daughter, and (an exact quote) she said that they’d be “mighty pissed if it came down to nothing but another choice between two Old Straight White Guys.”

Don’t get me wrong, some of my nearest and dearest are in that demographic, but isn’t it time to try something else? Especially if the best qualified candidate is a woman. -more-


Public Comment

"Affordable" Housing: Affordable for Who?

Steve Martinot
Friday February 28, 2020 - 03:46:00 PM

In cities undergoing gentrification, like Berkeley and Oakland, many communities form organizations that demand affordable housing to counter rising rent levels, and to end the displacement of low income community members that accompanies the process. A seeming battle emerges between city councils and developers. Developers wish to avoid including affordable housing units, which are not as profitable, and are willing to pay mitigation fees to do so. And cities invent “Below Market Rate” (BMR) schedules and "inclusionary" housing standards to create the appearance of promoting low income housing development. But the latter requires a building owner to agree to the discounts. And city councils refuse to set mitigation fees high enough to produce enough on-site affordable units.

In short, cities promise "affordable housing" units while allowing the juggernaut of gentrification to proceed. And the neighborhoods respond with a sardonic “Bronx cheer,” “Affordable? Affordable for who?” After all, market rate housing is already affordable for those who can afford it. -more-


Is Karma Haunting Britain’s Future?

Jagjit Singh
Friday February 28, 2020 - 03:54:00 PM

The sun has long set on Britain’s former empire. Its comeuppance is long overdue.

The bungling pinstripe-bowler hat brigade of elite British public schools and universities have long poured over world maps searching for ever greater conquests.

Dialing back the pages of history, novelist, Paul Scott reminds us of the utter decadence and destructive nature of the former architects of the British Empire who hastily withdrew and partitioned India into illogical member states. The handsome but ethically challenged last viceroy Mountbatten was accurately described by historian Andrew Roberts as a “mendacious, intellectually limited hustler.” Britain looted India of much of its wealth, destroying its garment trade to promote the sale of inferior British goods.

It’s ironic that Mountbatten, who was derided in British circles as “Master of Disaster,” was put in charge of the “jewel in the crown” robbing India of its enormous potential.

It is mindboggling to understand the callousness of how Britain chose to dismember India. -more-


Coronavirus

Tejinder Uberoi
Friday February 28, 2020 - 03:46:00 PM

The Trump administration’s decision to fire the U.S. Coronavirus pandemic response team in 2018 to cut costs was ill-advised. The CDC’s stark warning on the dangers of the virus came on the same day that White House’s economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, dismissed the threat telling CNBC the virus was “contained.” His re mark echoed President Trump’s assessment that the coronavirus was “very well under control.” The cost-cutting measures were made by his administration gutting the nation’s response to the virus’s looming threat. -more-


New: In response to Gar Smith's op-ed: Pacifica Restructuring Project

Carol Spooner
Monday March 02, 2020 - 10:37:00 PM

KPFA and Pacifica Radio, once one of the most important resources for progressives, in these troubled times is in trouble. It has the potential to change the direction of our nation, but it is nowhere near living up to its potential. We, a group of concerned members and activists, are asking for your support for a critical step to correct this right now.

One of the major difficulties Pacifica faces is an unwieldy and contentious governance system that has crippled its management in addressing serious issues such as the changing media landscape, the changing fundraising paradigm of younger generations, and the necessity for first rate programming to inform, educate and inspire listeners and supporters in this critical time. -more-


Columns

Bernie Sanders: Pro and Con

Bob Burnett
Friday February 28, 2020 - 03:37:00 PM

It appears that Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic Nomination -- the 538 website rates his chances as "1 in 2." Bernie is not my favorite candidate; nonetheless, if he wins the Democratic nomination, I'll work hard for him. Here's my assessment of Bernie's strengths and weaknesses.

The latest Real Clear Politics summary of national polls shows Sanders beating Trump by an average of 4.7 percent. Nonetheless, we remember all too well that Clinton led Trump throughout a long and agonizing campaign and then lost the election, courtesy of the electoral college. Bernie can beat Trump but it's far from certain. (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/02/24/who-would-win-trump-sanders-election/)

Sanders' strengths: 1. Enthusiasm. If you've followed the 2020 Democratic nomination process, you've probably noticed that Bernie Sanders' followers are the most enthusiastic. There are a lot of reasons for this, but Sanders' rallies have the most energy.

It isn't always the case that follower enthusiasm translates into get-out-the-vote energy, but it is a major consideration; in my experience, 2008 Obama election workers were more enthusiastic than 2016 Clinton workers. Enthusiasm is an important factor because, at the moment, Democratic voters, in general, are more enthusiastic than Republican voters. (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-enthusiasm-exclusive/exclusive-ahead-of-2020-election-a-blue-wave-is-rising-in-the-cities-polling-analysis-shows-idUSKBN20D1EG )

Imagine two campaign rallies in Ohio: one for Trump and the other for the Democratic nominee. Only a Bernie rally would match the enthusiasm at the Trump rally. This makes sense because both candidates rile up their audience with a populist, "blow up the establishment" message.

2. Broad Coalition: Bernie appears to be able to build the broad coalition that Democrats have been yearning for. The Nevada Democratic caucus exit polls (https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/entrance-polls-2020-nevada-caucuses/) indicate that Sanders carried most Demographic groups; for example, all age groups except those voters aged 65 and over. (Sanders carried 29 percent of White-non Hispanic voters and 51 percent of Hispanic voters.)

A lot of concerns that we might have had about Bernie's ability to build a broad coalition have been assuaged in the last couple of weeks. His core message resonates with all segments of he Democratic Party -- although he needs to do more to reach out to women who were once ardent Hillary supporters. (Bernie's core message is "the system is rigged:" "Bernie has fought tirelessly for working families, focusing on the shrinking middle class and growing gap between the rich and everyone else.")

3. Swing State Strength: Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 because she faltered in critical swing states: Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wiscconsin. According to Real Clear Politics, in Michigan, Sanders leads Trump by 5.3 percent; in Pennsylvania, Sanders leads Trump by 3 percent; and in Wisconsin, Trump leads Sanders by 1 percent. (BTW: In the last Ohio poll, Sanders was ahead of Trump; they're tied in Florida.)

Sanders' weaknesses: 1. Socialist label: Bernie describes himself as a "Democratic Socialist." This has given pundits a huge opportunity to criticize him. Many mainstream-media talking heads have declared that because of his socialist label, Sanders will never beat Trump. I'm not convinced that the socialist label will make that much of a difference.

First, Sanders isn't really a socialist. New York Times columnist, Paul Krugman, observed: "The thing is, Bernie Sanders isn’t actually a socialist in any normal sense of the term. He doesn’t want to nationalize our major industries and replace markets with central planning; he has expressed admiration, not for Venezuela, but for Denmark. He’s basically what Europeans would call a social democrat — and social democracies like Denmark are, in fact, quite nice places to live, with societies that are, if anything, freer than our own."

Second, there will be two kinds of 2020 campaign ads: vitriol and substance. The Republican vitriol ads will call Bernie a socialist and predict dire consequences. The Democratic vitriol ads will call Trump a pathological liar and a Russian asset. If you already like Trump you will vote for him regardless of the negative ads; if you don't like Trump, you're unlikely to vote for him regardless of what they say about Bernie.

Nonetheless, a recent academic study published in Vox (https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/2/25/21152538/bernie-sanders-electability-president-moderates-data ) suggests that a Sanders' candidacy would be problematic: "Our survey data reveals voters of all parties moving to Trump if Sanders is nominated, a liability papered over by young voters who claim they would be inspired to vote by Sanders alone."

2. Weak Coattails: The main reason Democratic pundits are worried about Bernie is because they fear that a "Democratic Socialist" will hurt "down ballot" Democratic candidates. Democratic candidate Michael Bloomberg has made this assertion: "Bernie Sanders would 'jeopardize' the re-election of 42 House Democrats in battleground districts and therefore the party’s majority rule of the chamber if the self-described Democratic socialist becomes the party’s nominee for president."

In 2020, Democrats have to take back both the Presidency and the Senate. If "Moscow Mitch" McConnell remains Senate Majority Leader, he will block most Democratic legislative initiatives. From here, the contested Senate seats are: Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Kansas, Maine, and North Carolina. (Democrats have to win four.)

Consider the situation in Arizona, where there's a contested Senate seat now held by Republican Martha McSally -- a Trump acolyte. In the 2020 Arizona Senatorial election, she'll be opposed by former astronaut Mark Kelly -- husband of former U.S. Representative Gabby Giffords. In 2016, Arizona narrowly went to Trump. Would Bernie Sanders help or hurt Mark Kelly?

I think that having Bernie as the 2020 Democratic nominee will help improve Arizona voter turnout and that will help Mark Kelly. Republicans will run negative ads targeting Bernie and Democrats will run negative ads targeting Trump; those will cancel out.

The Nevada exit polls indicated that the most important issues were: health care, climate change, and income inequality. If these are the most important issues in (neighboring) Arizona, Sanders will help Mark Kelly because Bernie is much stronger on these issues than is Trump. (Actually Trump isn't strong on any issue other than the "economy" and, at the moment, this is teetering because of the impact of the coronavirus.)

I believe that Bernie will help down-ballot Democratic senatorial candidates in Arizona, Colorado, and Maine. I'm not sure about Georgia, Kansas, and North Carolina.

3. Temperament: Like Trump, Bernie offers his own brand of charisma. That attracts loyal followers but masks his irascibility. He really is crochety Uncle Bernie.

Writing in the New York Times ( https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/26/opinion/bernie-sanders.html?referringSource=articleShare), Frank Bruni observes: "[Bernie Sanders] isn’t and has never been popular with his Democratic colleagues in the Senate... I know that because I’ve heard some of those colleagues talk about him, describing him as arrogant, uncooperative, unyielding, even mean."

Summary: Maybe the 2020 election will come down to "our S.O.B. versus their S.O.B." Personally, I'd hoped that the Democratic candidate would be someone who could make progress on healing the nation. Perhaps that's too much to hope for.


Bob Burnett is a Bay Area writer and activist. He can be reached at bburnett@sonic.net -more-


ON MENTAL ILLNESS: Mental Plasticity

Jack Bragen
Friday February 28, 2020 - 04:06:00 PM

If a behavior doesn't serve a good purpose, maybe it should be changed. (When I say "good purpose" I mean, does the behavior contribute to the happiness and wellness of oneself and others?) A sign of having mental plasticity is being able to change an outmoded or non-useful behavior (I won't use the term "inappropriate," since this is a bigoted terminology.)

Retaining mental plasticity well into middle age does not have to be excluded from the domains of those with mental illness. When we can adapt to changing conditions, to an increasingly demanding environment, to higher and more expectations, and if we can do this without excessive displeasure, this is a major form of success, and almost guarantees that we will do well.

Mental plasticity is where you are still young when you are in your fifties, sixties, seventies, or more. It is the willingness to learn new things and to revise outmoded behaviors. Mental plasticity means that we are not locked-in to one way of doing things, and we are not crystallized in how we react. We are capable of change.

Change is the only constant. If the world changes, we must change to adapt to that. If we can't do that, we become maladapted. If we can't adapt, we can't survive. If we can't survive, we will either become institutionalized, or we will die. -more-


The Coronavirus Pandemic is Upon Us and
Americans Should Worry

Ralph E. Stone
Friday February 28, 2020 - 04:03:00 PM

Although the World Health Organization has not declared the coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic a pandemic, an epidemic of world-wide proportions, with no containment in sight. The virus has spread to at least 49 countries. As of February 26, 2020, there are 80,980 confirmed cases in 39 countries and territories with at least 2,770 deaths.

COVID-19 seems to spread like influenza, through the air, person to person. Unlike Ebola, SARS and MERS individuals can transmit this coronavirus before the onset of symptoms even if they don’t become ill. The fact that mild cases are difficult to differentiate from colds or the flu only complicates the diagnosis. Vaccines are many months away, at the earliest.

Presently, there are 60 cases of the Coronavirus in the U.S. However, Dr. Nancy Messonnier, director of the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, said in a news briefing that an outbreak in the U.S. is a question of when, not if, and urged hospitals, businesses and schools to prepare.

Laurie Garrett, a former senior fellow for global health at the Council on Foreign Relations and a Pulitzer Prize winning science writer, writes in Foreign Policy that Trump has sabotaged America’s coronavirus response. -more-


SMITHEREENS: Reflection on Bits & Pieces

Gar Smith
Friday February 28, 2020 - 03:41:00 PM

Going Viral

With the coronavirus taking over the airways—both broadcast and bronchial—there was a line in a February 27 Chronicle report that raised some concerns. In story on "negative pressure rooms," the Chron stated: "These rooms have HVAC systems that suck in contaminated air, filter it, and release it outside so that it doesn't contaminate the air in the rest of the hospital."

What gives? The HVAC systems don't completely decontaminate the air?

So the HVAC systems intentionally release contaminated air outside the hospitals?

Sounds like another reason to stay far away from hospitals if you want to stay healthy. -more-


Arts & Events

The Berkeley Activist's Calendar, March 1-8

Kelly Hammargren, Sustainable Berkeley Alliance
Saturday February 29, 2020 - 07:22:00 PM

h There is a lot of information in the weekly summary of meetings, the introduction is given as a guide to meetings with items of high interest or potential high impact. Those meetings have a double **. The best opportunity for input is at the City Council policy committees and key Boards and Commissions



Worth Noting and Showing Up:

  • Super Tuesday March 3 California Primary Day: - Polls open 7 am and close at 8 pm,
Absentee Ballot Voters - Don’t delay, get your ballots in. Voting in person or walking in your absentee ballot you must arrive before 8 pm.

  • Wednesday: Planning Commission is conducting a public hearing on eliminating off-street parking minimum requirements for multi-unit buildings.
  • Thursday: morning – Council Land Use Committee TOPA (Tenant Opportunity to Purchase Act,) afternoon – Council FITS Policy Committee phase out of sale of (new) gas/diesel/natural gas powered passenger vehicles, evening – Housing Advisory Commission
  • Sunday – March 8 – Daylight Savings begins


The agenda for the March 10 City Council meeting is available for comment to Council and follows the list of meetings.



Sunday, March 1, 2020 -more-